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Thursday, October 06, 2005

bet365 - Get In The Game *UK*

*UK Edition*
Get In The Game - with Nigel Ridgway of bet365
**********************************************

FOOTBALL
********
ENGLAND v AUSTRIA
Sa Oct 8 - 4:00 pm ko (BBC)
With England at prohibitive odds of 2/9 for a game that they should (must)
win, the correct play could be in the goals markets. In the hope that we
won't see Sven experimenting this time, we can expect a few goals from the
anticipated Crouch / Owen combo up front (1/2 that they play up front
together), which brought Owen a hat-trick against Colombia in the summer.
The Austrians are in disarray, with only Azerbaijan and Wales having failed
to score against them in qualifying, while even Scotland managed to breach
their defence in a recent friendly, so a bet on over 2.5 goals looks best
here. At the same time, Michael Owen looks a fair bet at 7/2 to open the
scoring, especially considering we'll give you your money back if he scores
the last goals in the game instead. Once the game kicks off, don't forget
to check out our 14 live In-Play markets via the new 'In-Play Console.'

NORTHERN IRELAND v WALES
Live betting - Sa Oct 8 - 3:00 pm ko (BBC1 - NI/ BBC2 - Wales)
Wales are winless in 14 competitive games and will be desperate to get
something out of their World Cup campaign. However, they may have to have
to wait until their final game against Azerbaijan to restore some Welsh
pride, as the Irish look well up to the task. Their recent 1-0 win over
England was no fluke, while they deserved their draw in Cardiff too, and
this well organised side should be backed at 8/5 to follow up. Live betting
available.

SCOTLAND V BELARUS
Sa Oct 8 - 3:00 pm ko (SS1)
With four teams scrapping it out for second spot in the group, this is a
must win game for both teams. It's three points or out, so we're unlikely
to see a repeat of the stalemate between the sides back in June. On their
recent form, Scotland are more than entitled to win this but, from a
punting perspective, the odds of 8/15 are not great. Instead, we'll back
the value option by playing the correct score market. Scotland's four home
games so far have produced five goals, so we'll split stakes on a 1-0 or
2-0 win, at 5/1 and 11/2 respectively. Bet Live In-Play on this match.

Weekend International Picks:

England v Austria - 'Over' 2.5 goals @ 6/5 / Michael Owen to score first @
7/2
Northern Ireland to beat Wales @ 8/5
Scotland to beat Belarus 1-0 or 2-0 @ 5/1 / 11/2

HORSE RACING
************
URSIS THROWN IN AT WEIGHTS
After the excitement of Arc and Cambridgeshire weekend, the jumps season
cranks up a gear this weekend with a cracking Chepstow card (live on BBC),
where Ursis is fancied to take advantage of a potentially lenient handicap
mark (2.25). Winner of two of his four starts in France (close up in the
other two), the Jonjo O'Neil-trained gelding made a big impression on his
British debut over hurdles, cruising home by 5 lengths at Wetherby. The
bare form of that win doesn't amount to much but, given his high rating on
the flat, he could be 'thrown in' at the weights on Saturday. As always, it
pays to watch the market, and a move for the Gary Moore-trained Nation
State in the same race should be noted. He was one of the better juvenile
hurdlers last season, and had a nice pipe-opener on the flat recently,
which makes him the main danger to the selection.

FANCY A CLASSIC ENCOUNTER
The best bet on the televised Salisbury card looks to be the speedy Classic
Encounter (2.15). He has been lightly raced, having run just three times,
but the form of his races has been working out well. On his most recent
start in the Norfolk Stakes he split Strike Up The Band and Ajigolo, who
have both gone on to Group race success since so, with a little more
improvement expected, he can get back in the winner's circle.

bet365 customers can also watch this race via our new 'Bet & Watch'
service, which allows you to watch EVERY race in the UK and Ireland live.
Just bet £5 with us to take advantage of this service - why bet anywhere
else!

IRIS'S A CHANNEL 4 GIFT
Iris's Gift should be another winner for Jonjo O'Neil in the novice chase
at Bangor (4.00), one of the highlights of the Channel 4 televised card.
He's not the betting highlight though, as he's likely to be at short odds
to follow up his recent Market Rasen win. Better odds should be obtained by
backing Russian Gigolo, in the handicap chase (3.25). The Nigel
Twiston-Davies-trained runner always seems to run well on the course (form
figures '321'). However, the best bet Channel 4 could be the classy Barry
Hills-trained Spinning Queen (York, 2.10), who looks something to bet on
now that she's dropping back to a suitable trip (6f).

With six live races from York and Bangor this Saturday, bet365 customers
can take advantage of our fantastic Channel 4 Offer. Back a winner at 4/1,
or bigger, and we'll give you a free bet (up to £50) on the next live
Channel 4 race. Many of our customers who were clever enough to back the
Cambridgeshire winner, Blue Monday (11/2), did just that last week.

GOLF
****
AMEX CHAMPIONSHIP - TOMS A MAJOR BET AT 50/1
Th Oct 6 - 19.00 BST (SS2)
Fr Oct 7 - 19.00 BST (SS2)
Sa Oct 8 - 21.30 BST (SS1)
Su Oct 9 - 18.30 BST (SS1)
Tiger's record in the AmEx Championship is second to none, reading
1-5-1-1-9 over the last five years, which almost makes him an automatic
pick this week. However, he didn't look at all healthy the last time we saw
him in on the golf course and, at just 11/4 in a top-class field, we'll
swerve him for betting purposes this week. Of course, he's had ten days to
get over the rib injury which seemed to cost him victory in his Presidents
Cup singles match but, when you also factor in his poor record on par-70
courses, there are just too many doubts to get involved this week. He'll
still have plenty of supporters at 14/5 in the 'Enhanced Win Only'
market.

Instead, we'll have a few quid on David Toms at a potentially massive 50/1.
That price probably takes into account his recent health scare, which
caused him to be carried off the course with chest pains during the Lumber
Classic. However, he's played (well) since, and would only be lining up if
he was 100% fit again. With the rough this week having been allowed to grow
and the fairways substantially narrowed as a result, his straight driving
will be an asset, while he's also made the frame in two of the last three
AmExs. That may be irrelevant on a new course this week, but it at least
shows he's a player who plays well at this time of year. He's also 16/1 in
our 'Top American Without Woods' market, where Phil Mickelson is 5/1
favourite.

American golf is on a high right now after their success in the Presidents
Cup, but there'll be plenty of Europeans hoping to spoil the party this
week. Padraig Harrington (50/1), whose best 2005 form (two victories) has
come in the States, must play well, along with last week's Dunhill winner
Monty (66/1), but Sergio Garcia (22/1) has the best record in this event
with four top-tens from five appearances. He's another player whose
accurate driving will stand him in good stead this week, and warmed up
nicely for this with a top-15 effort in the Chrysler Classic. Instead of an
each way bet we'll take the 25/1 enhanced win odds, and have a 'saver' on
him at 4/1 in the 'Top European' market.

The final pick goes to the massively in-form Olin Browne, at an equally
massive bet365 price of 125/1. He may be a first-timer in this event but,
with a win and a second in his last four starts (six of his last nine in
the top-25), he's hard to resist at those odds. His familiarity with the
PGA Tour should give him an advantage over many international competitors.
As with all US Tour events, we'll have live betting, via our new 'In-Play
Console', right up to the final putt on Sunday.

Nigel's AmEx Championship Three Off The Tee: Sergio Garcia @ 25/1 (Enhanced
Odds); Davis Toms @ 50/1; Olin Browne @ 125/1 (Each-way ¼ odds
1.2.3.4.5.)

Get in the game and be lucky!

Nigel

NIGEL RIDGWAY, an experienced punter and betting shop owner of many years,
believes that "The key to successful gambling is getting value for money."
Nigel was once forced by local bookmakers, to stop writing a tipping column
in a UK newspaper, because he was costing them a fortune. Find out what
offers and lines are hot at bet365.com




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