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Thursday, October 27, 2005

bet365 - Get In The Game *UK Version*

*UK Edition*
Get In The Game - with Nigel Ridgway of bet365
**********************************************

FOOTBALL
********
BORO LONGING TO BE BACKED AT 7/2
Sa Oct 29 - 5.15 pm ko (PremPlus)
Middlesbrough are never at team you'd want to have your house on, but the
temptation is so strong to oppose United right now that Steve McLaren's
side are worth an interest at 7/2 in Saturday's live encounter (ko 5.15,
Prem Plus). The Red Devils may have won four out of five away from home
but
these were against Everton, Newcastle, Fulham and Sunderland, while
Spurs,
Liverpool and Man City have all taken a point from them over the past few
weeks, and this will be a harder game for them than the odds suggest.

Boro are hardly reliable, but the key to punting them looks to be going
in
when the odds are long, and to oppose them when they're short and, as
they
showed against Arsenal, a hard game like this looks sure to bring out the
best of them. In our First Goalscorer market, prolific scorer Yakubu
looks
a fair bet at 8/1, especially considering our Goalscorer Cashback Offer
(money back if he scores the last goal in the game instead). Once the
game
goes live, don't forget to check out our 14 Live In-play markets.

Live Game Picks:

Middlesbrough @ 7/2
Yakabu to score first @ 8/1

YOU CAN EARN YOUR SPURS AT 9/5
Arsenal are another team worth taking on right now, and the 9/5 available
on their arch rivals Tottenham is hard to resist. That price is probably
based on past form more than anything else, as it's been 12 games since
Spurs beat their London rivals, and that 2-1 win was their only win in 20
attempts going back nearly ten years! However, Spurs are playing the
better
football this season and, with home advantage, they can nick this.

The rest of the weekend games look trappy, but Man City can be backed
with
confidence at 5/6 to beat Aston Villa on Monday night. Their only blip at
home in the league this season was a loss to Bolton, but that was down to
a
last minute goal, and the Citizens have been rock solid in front of their
fans. Finally, Sunderland have been playing well enough of late to
warrant
a bet at 5/4 to beat Portsmouth, who haven't been that impressive on the
road this season.

PREMIERSHIP ACCUMULATOR OFFER
*****************************
Betting purists will say that you should stick to singles, but having a
weekend acca is one way of making a few quid from a relatively small
stake
- plus you're assured of getting some extra value with our Premiership
Accumulator Offer! Each week, we pay out up to 60% more on successful
accas
involving Premiership teams, and this week's four fancied teams pay out
£*** for a £25 stake, which includes a bet365 bonus of 5%.

Suggested Premiership Acca:

Middlesbrough; Tottenham; Man City and Sunderland - pays £1364.35 (£25
stake)

HORSE RACING
************
BACK GREY FOR A REPEAT AT 7/2
The jumpers take centre stage this weekend and the highlight is
undoubtedly
the bet365 Charlie Hall Chase from Wetherby (3.25). The race is building
up
into a cracking contest with several big names already confirmed as
definite runners, including last year's winner Grey Abbey who heads the
betting at 11/4 (opened 7/2). The eleven-year-old showed he can do well
fresh by taking this race last year before following up in the Pillar
Chase
at Cheltenham. That win saw him go off fancied for the Gold Cup in March,
and he wasn't disgraced in finishing 5th on ground that was probably too
lively for him. The recent rain will be very much in his favour, and he
looks the one to beat.

Of his rivals, there is a suspicion that Ollie Magern (4/1) would prefer
better ground, although his stable is in unstoppable form (seven winners
last weekend), while Kingscliff (3/1) is unlikely to run up to his best
on
his first run back this season. The race will be screened live on Channel
4, but don't worry if you can't get to the TV, as you can watch your
selections live here at bet365. Just bet £5 and click on the live stream
next to the race.

TERMS ARE FAVOURABLE AT 16/1
With massive fields in very soft ground likely at Newmarket on Saturday,
we
might be best looking for winners elsewhere, although anyone fortunate to
find a winner in any of the four televised races, at 4/1 or bigger, can
look forward to a free bet on the next live Channel 4 race. And the
evening's Breeders Cup meeting from Belmont Park offers us with some
excelling betting opportunities. British eyes will be on Ouija Board in
the
'Filly & Mare Turf' (7.35) after she bolted up in this race last year.
However, that was on the back of a career-best performance in the Arc,
and
she may be vulnerable this time, having not shown nearly the same sort of
form this season. Instead, we'll take a chance on Favourable Terms at a
generous bet365 price of 16/1. Her trainer, Michael Stoute, will be aware
of what's required to win this race having saddled Islington to collect
two
years ago.

The Mile (8.45) has been one of the happier hunting grounds for the
Europeans, but our challenge doesn't look as strong this year, and the
Yanks look to have it sewn up with Leroidesanimaux (Evens). However, if
he
ran below form, the most likely winner would be Artie Schiller (7/1), so
it
might be worth having a reverse exacta on him to run second to the
favourite. We have a stronger hand in the Turf, where Azamour and Bago
head
the market at 5/2 and 7/2 respectively, but preference is for Shirocco at
7/1, providing he gets the soft ground he loves. In the sprint, Lost In
The
Fog (11/10) will be hard to beat, but it's not worth taking short prices
in
a race like this, and you can get better odds by backing both Silver
Train
(10/1) and Lion Tamer (7/1) against him. In the Classic (10.35), Rock
Hard
Ten looks something to bet on at our industry best 7/2. His pari-mutual
odds on the night are likely to be much lower, a comment that applies to
the majority of the fancied US-trained runners. In the other races I like
the look of the dirt-bred Ivan Denisovich (take pari-mutual odds) in the
Juvenile (6.55), and Folklore (take 11/4) in the Juvenile Fillies (6.20).

GOLF
****
STICK WITH OGILVY AT 33/1
Th Oct 27 - 21.00 BST (SSX)
Fr Oct 28 - 23.00 BST (SS2)
Sa Oct 29 - 20.00 BST (SS3)
Su Oct 30 - 19.00 BST (SS3)
Vijay Singh could be over-priced at 7/1 to land the Chrysler
Championship,
the last full-field tournament of the official US Tour season. That looks
an over-reaction to his poor form of late, including a missed cut last
week, but Vijay could easily bounce back here and it has to be in his
favour that this week's event will be less of a putting contest. However,
it's been more profitable taking on the favourites recently, and last
week's pick Geoff Ogilvy (tied 3rd, one shot off a playoff with shock
150/1
winner Lucas Glover) is worth persevering with at a bet365 standout price
of 33/1 (35/1 Enhanced Win Only). He was a frustrating selection last
week,
as he was tied for the lead going into the last hole, but was forced to
be
overly aggressive on his approach shot after Glover had holed out from a
bunker to birdie the last! That cost him a bogey, but it was still an
impressive performance and it did maintain his excellent record in
Florida.
His record on this course isn't bad either - 20th and 9th from two
attempts
- so let's hope for better luck this week!

As a course winner, K J Choi also merits serious consideration this week
at
a tasty 33/1 (35/1 EWO), especially as he'll be chasing a top-30 spot on
the US Money list which would qualify him for next week's Tour
Championship. Currently in 37th place, K J will be hopeful of a big
finish
on a course that has rewarded his strong iron play in the past, and he'll
be fresher than most having skipped a potential money earner last week.

Chrysler Championship Picks: Geoff Ogilvy @ 33/1; K J Choi @ 33/1 (both @
35/1 Enhanced Win Only)

MONTY CAN BE MASTERS OF ALL AT 14/1
Th Oct 27 - 13.00 BST (SS1)
Fr Oct 28 - 13.30 BST (SS1)
Sa Oct 29 - 12.30 BST (SS3)
Su Oct 30 - 12.30 BST (SS3)
The final event of the European Tour takes place at Valderrama this week
and, given his excellent record on the course (two wins and two seconds),
it's hard to see Colin Montgomerie being out of the frame. A good finish
will also secure Monty another Order of Merit title, for which he's
currently priced at 1/16. His only rival for the No.1 spot, Michael
Campbell (7/1), is currently £106,000 behind but, with over £450,000 up
for
grabs, it's still all to play for. As Monty loves a head to head battle,
the situation with Campbell should bring out the best in him, and he
looks
a great bet at 14/1 (15/1 EWO). If Monty doesn't win, then David Howell
(14/1) would have as good a claim as anyone, including our 13/2 favourite
Sergio Garcia, whose suspect putting could find him out again this week.
Howell has emerged as a top-class player in 2005 and deserves a big win
to
round off the season. Seven top-6 finishes in his last 11 starts make for
impressive reading, and he showed he can play the course by finishing 5th
last year.

Volvo Masters Picks: Colin Montgomerie @ 33/1; David Howell @ 14/1 (both
@
35/1 Enhanced Win Only)

For a change this week, I would recommend that you take the Enhanced Win
Only prices on this week's selections, then combine them in four each way
doubles. All four look rock-solid each way picks and the place double
will
at least cover our stake, while two winners would be very nice indeed!

Get in the game and be lucky!

Nigel

NIGEL RIDGWAY, an experienced punter and betting shop owner of many
years,
believes that "The key to successful gambling is getting value for
money."

Nigel was once forced by local bookmakers, to stop writing a tipping
column
in a UK newspaper, because he was costing them a fortune. Find out what
offers and lines are hot at bet365.com




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