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This weeks version includes articles on:
NFL this week we highlight a trend for the under, plus theres a
massive plug for the Parlay Bonus!
NASCAR includes a 50/1 tip for the MBNA 400 from Dover and a look at
the Nextel Cup Championship
Presidents Cup & Texas Open Golf including a hot 66/1 shot for the
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*US Edition*
GET IN THE GAME with NIGEL RIDGWAY of bet365
********************************************
NFL
***
WEEK 2 RECAP COLTS NOW 4/1 FOR THE TITLE
There were some comfortable wins for the bigger teams in Week 1, with
Pittsburghs win over Houston one of the most anticipated results by
bettors. The Eagles were also very well-backed with stacks of money on them
at -13.5. Anyone betting under did well on Sunday, with ten games going
under the total (more of that later). Indys failure to cover the points
spread was surprising, but not to in the game followers who took the
advice to back the Jags ATS last week. This was still a good performance by
the Colts, who are now 4/1 clear favorites for the Super Bowl. Meanwhile,
Minnesotas horrible start to the season continued, and theyre now 28/1
for the title, while New England (11/2) look a shadow of the team that has
won three of the last four Super Bowls.
bet365 latest Super Bowl prices
Indianapolis 4/1, New England 11/2,
Philadelphia 13/2, Atlanta, Pittsburgh 10/1, Carolina 14/1, others on
bet365 website.
WEEK 3 RUNDOWN DEFENSE THE KEY AGAIN
So far this season there has been a definite trend for the totals to go
under. Last week, the under went 9-3-1 making it 19-8-1 for the season,
which suggests that defence has been the major story so far. The Colts and
Rams are much improved as far as the points they allow, while the Steelers,
Patriots, Bears, Bucs, Bills, Falcons and Eagles look just as strong
defensively as last season. Look for the trend to continue this week.
Cincinnati Bengals @ Chicago Bears UNDER 39.0 POINTS @ 10/11
Cincinnati have taken advantage of a couple of struggling football teams in
the early going, but Chicago will present their toughest defensive test
yet, having allowed a total of just 15 points in their two games!
Carolina Panthers @ Miami Dolphins UNDER 36.5 POINTS @ 10/11
The offences will be no match for the defences as the Panthers are set to
invade South Florida. The Miami offence will struggle to move the ball and
this bet365 number is way too big!
A $50 parlay on the above two games pays out $191.34 - which includes a
bet365 bonus of 5%
ON THE REBOUND
NY Giants @ SAN DIEGO CHARGERS (-6.0)
Its been a frustrating couple of weeks for the Chargers. In their opener
against Dallas, they blew a fourth quarter lead, while last Sunday they
were 14-3 up at half time only to lose on a last second field goal.
Compensation awaits LIVE BETTING AT BET365!
RISING THIS WEEK
New England Patriots @ PITTSBURGH STEELERS (-3.0)
Pittsburgh are playing just great right now (2-0 straight up and against
the spread), while injuries to cornerbacks has seen Patriots (1-1) head
coach Belichick having to struggle with a beaten Patriots secondary LIVE
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TOP DOG
KANSAS CITY CHIEFS (+3.0) @ Denver Broncos
This weekend looks strong for the favourites but its surprising to see
Denver favoured by a field goal against Kansas. The way the Chiefs have
looked this season, I cant believe theyre getting three LIVE BETTING AT
BET365!
HOME BANKERS
Cleveland Browns @ INDIANAPOLIS COLTS (-14.0)
The Browns may have got a surprise win at Green Bay on Sunday, but this is
till a team with a lot of holes (allowed 452 yards to a Packers team
missing WR Jevon Walker). Everyones been wondering where the Colts defense
has gone, but this is the game for them to bust out.
A $50 parlay on the above four games pays out $730.59 - which includes a
bet365 bonus of 10%
CHICAGO DEFENSE GETTING NASTY BEARS NOW 7/2 FOR DIVISION
Only wish Id taken the 10/1 for the Chicago Bears to win their division at
the start of the season! Its only Week 3, but already Chicago are looking
like the team with the best defence and coaching in the division. They may
be as low as 7/2 now, but that still looks a price worth taking,
considering how bad the NFC North is turning out. So far, the Vikings (0-2)
defence has looked better on paper than on the field, while the Packers are
in worse shape. As for the Lions, what can you say about a team that loses
by 32 points to the Bears! This weekend, they face a potentially tricky
game against Cincinnati (2-0). However, this is the toughest defence that
the Bengals have had to face, and it comes on the road.
Chicago Bears to win NFC North @ 7/2
Chicago Bears (+3.0) to beat Cincinnati @ 20/23
bet365 latest NFC North prices
Minnesota 7/5, Detroit 11/5, Chicago 7/2,
Green Bay 9/2
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You cant beat the adrenaline rush of the live game, and thats when our
In-Play service kicks in via our new In-Play Console, which has all the
odds and markets on one convenient page (just click on the link on the top
left-hand side of the home page). This weekends live games are:
Iowa @ Ohio State
Live betting Su Sep 24 12:00 pm/16:00 GMT
USC @ Oregon
Live betting - Su Sep 24 7:00 pm/23:00 GMT
OAK Raiders @ PHL Eagles
Live betting Mo Sep 25 1:00 pm/17:00 GMT
NE Patriots @ PIT Steelers
Live betting Mo Sep 25 4:15 pm/20:15 GMT
NY Giants @ SD Chargers
Live betting Mo Sep 25 8:30 pm (ESPN)/Sep 26 00:30 GMT
KC Chiefs @ DEN Broncos
Live betting Mo Sep 26 9:00 pm (ABC)/Sep 27 01:00 GMT
Good luck in Week 3
NASCAR
*******
THE ROAD TO DOVER JUNIORS A MONSTER 50/1 FOR VICTORY LANE
Su Sep 25 12:30 pm (TNT)/16:30 GMT
The second chapter in the race for the chase continues Sunday, with the
MBNA 400 at the famed Monster Mile oval in Dover and, as youd expect,
were already betting on the driver to win this week.
Greg Biffle is looking to complete the sweep after winning the earlier race
at Dover and hes 8/1 to do so. Thats fair odds for a driver coming back
to a track with winning set up notes, and recent trends are on his side
too. Since 1994, five drivers have swept Dover, the latest being Ryan
Newman (13/2) in 2003. The latter is also interesting this week coming off
his first win of the season, and on a track where his team have won three
of the last five races. Last weeks win over Tony Stewart (5/1) was a
battling performance by Newman who looked intent on the win and didnt care
how he was going to achieve it. On the other hand, Stewart looked to play
the cautious side and he might have his eyes on a bigger picture (the
Chase) rather than the moment. He deserves praise for his restraint but,
for that reason alone, well leave him out of winning calculations this
week.
Last weeks 5th place finish by Dale Earnhardt Jr was his best for a while
and, it cant be coincidence that this was his first race with Tony Eury
Jr. back as his crew chief. That should give them momentum coming into this
week, on a track where they had a great season last year, and it wouldnt
be a major surprise to see Junior back in the winners circle this week. His
current pre-practice price of 50/1 will collapse if all goes to plan later
this week.
bet365 latest MBNA Race Points 400 prices
Tony Stewart 5/1, Ryan Newman
13/2, Kyle Busch, Greg Biffle 8/1, Matt Kenseth 13/2, Jimmie Johnson, Kurt
Busch, Matt Kenseth 10/1, others on bet365 website
In our Championship outright betting, weve clipped main pick Tony Stewart
into Evens (from 6/4) after his second place finish last week. Our each-way
pick for the title, Rusty Wallace, remains at 14/1, despite coming home a
respectable sixth. As we said last week, the key to success in the chase is
consistent finishes rather than going flat out for the win. Rustys 20/1 to
win this week, and hes sure to be on the premises again.
bet365 latest Championship Outright prices
Tony Stewart Evens, Jimmie
Johnson, Kurt Busch, Greg Biffle 5/1, Matt Kenseth 13/2, Ryan Newman 15/2,
others on bet365 website. Each-way 1/5 odds 1.2.3
GOLF
INTERNATIONALS VALUE AT 11/8 FOR PRESIDENTS CUP
Th Sep 22 4:00 pm (ESPN)/20:00 GMT
Fr Sep 23 4:00 pm (ESPN)/20:00 GMT
Sa Sep 24 - 4:00 pm (ESPN)/20:00 GMT
Su Sep 25 - 4:00 pm (ESPN)/20:00 GMT
The United States are as short as 4/7 to win this weeks Presidents Cup on
home soil, but there are a number of question marks hanging over Team USA.
World No.1, Tiger Woods (3/1 to top-score for the States), has not played
competitive golf since finishing 40th in the Deutsche Bank Championship,
while Phil Mickelson, who finished down the field in the 84 Lumber Classic,
is not renowned for his team golf. To add to captain Jack Nicklaus
concerns, star player David Toms was hospitalized with heart problems
during the first round last week. On the rankings, the US are the better
side but, at the odds, the bets going on the Internationals at 11/8.
Presidents Cup Pick: Internationals @ 11/8
HOME FROM HOME - BACK J J FOR TEXAS OPEN AT 66/1
Several of the players at the front of the betting for this weeks Texas
Open look opposable due to being out of form 20/1 favourite Chad Campbell
has posted only one top-ten since April so its time to get stuck into
some genuine each way shots at bigger prices. And, as Texans (and Texas
residents) do particularly well in this event (last years winner Bart
Bryant was the 16th Texan to win his home event), well pin our hopes this
week on a trio of natives
J J Henry reached a landmark birthday (30) in April, which is often an
incentive for a player to up his game, and hes since put in some decent
finishes (4th in the Reno-Tahoe). Hes still looking to break his Tour duck
but, with two top-5s in four years on this track, this could be the week
he does it. He rates a cracking each way bet at 66/1, along with
Texas-born-and-bred, Hunter Mahan (80/1), who also looks to have the
measure of the course (Tied 17th 2003, 5th 2004).
Finally, Harrison Frazar looks too good to miss at a juicy 80/1. Hes yet
to fire in this event, but produced one of his better performances of the
season last time out in the Lumber Classic, finishing with a 64 to grab
17th place. As hes currently 135th in the money list, he could do with a
few dollars this week to ensure his automatic playing rights for next
season (only the top-125 at the end of the season qualify). That should be
the incentive he needs to at least get into our five places this week. Of
course, once the event tees off, well have live in-play betting right up
to the final putt on Sunday night.
Texas Open Three Off The Tee: J J Henry @ 66/1; Hunter Mahan @ 80/1;
Harrison Frazar @ 80/1 (Each-way ¼ odds 1.2.3.4.5.)
Get in the game and be lucky!
Nigel.
Please be aware that prices are subject to change. All times are subject
to change. Check local listings.
NIGEL RIDGWAY, an experienced punter and betting shop owner of many years,
believes that The key to successful gambling is getting value for money.
Nigel was once forced by local bookmakers, to stop writing a tipping column
in a UK newspaper, because he was costing them a fortune. Find out what
offers and lines are hot at bet365.com
Word count: 1968
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